Today could be a day of decision in terms of the sector (and some stocks). The XBI seems to have a little pennant forming and it would be nice to see a breakout over the $130 level where that should lead to a continuation next week. Of course, there is still some room for indecision […]
May 12th Biotech Update
Good news and bad news. The sector broke its recent lows yesterday- bad news. It reversed and ended green- good news. I think the clear downtrend is not as clear but I also do not think we are in a good spot. The $120 level should be some decent support but it seems best case […]
May 7th Biotech (and MLP) Update
We broke to new lows so how far will we fall? That is the natural question but it actually looks like we hit what could be pretty strong support. So is it possible that we actually bounce as opposed to collapse? If you look at the previous lower lows, they are not actually that different. […]
April 15th Biotech Update
I want to be optimistic and speak to the new upside momentum in the sector and in the immediate term that is accurate. The issue is that even with all the positive price action we have only been able to get to the middle of the $125 to $140 range that is key for the […]
April 8th Biotech Update
I spent some time this morning looking for something interesting to talk about and there really is not much. The sector remains in a sort of zone of indecision and that has not changed. We were a little closer to the downside level with some negative sentiment but we are higher today and I am […]
March 15 Biotech Update
Well, we have a chance this week to reverse (or continue the reversal) and send a strong signal that the bottom is in. I suspect we cannot do that unless the NASDAQ has also bottomed, which probably means the broader market is going higher. There continues to be little thesis changing news so we will […]
February 19th Biotech Update
The sector really seems unable to bounce which seems to open up a move to $150. That being said I really think we are oversold in the near term and so it would really be a signal of disinterest in the sector if we continue to $150. In some ways, it sets up a pretty […]
February 18th Biotech Update
Not a ton of news so a short note today. The sector tried to bounce yesterday and did a decent job but today there is no clear follow through. We are certainly at a level where there should be some support but it does not seem like very many people are exciting about biotech at […]
February 10th Biotech Update
Right now the market seems to be the epitome of a market at highs tends to make marginal new highs. The sector has been doing really well and in some ways was leading the moves higher. There was a little pause yesterday which is normal but at this point I still think the trend is […]
February 8th Biotech (and MLP) Update
We have moved past the large cap portion of the earnings with positive price action in the sector but less so in the companies that are reporting. I do not believe that is related to the quality of the earnings as they were generally fine but more of a broader disconnect between large and SMID […]
February 1st Biotech Update
It is an interesting start to the week and one that will also have the start of earnings season for biotechs. The GME saga continues with both a push to keep GME high but also a push to move into SLV. I am more interested in the SLV plays in that it provides a better […]
November 12th Biotech Update
The market continues to move along it sort of the honeymoon period post election risk reduction. I still worry about the pandemic as cases continue to grow unabated in the EU and US. Is it possible that the market (and Americans) simply do not care about it anymore and have simply accepted the death as […]
November 6th Biotech Update
It seems like the election is all but over. The votes have turned and clearly point to a Bide victory and as of writing speculation is that Trump will admit defeat. Of course, Trump does not have to concede for Biden to win but it would assuage investors and remove the last bit of risk […]
October 22 Biotech Update
The past couple days have not been great but we still remain in the uptrend and that has to be the assumption until that trend is broken. We are probably at an area where support should happen and a bounce develop. If we continue downward and do not get any real support, it would raise […]
August 21st Biotech Update
Nothing too exciting to end the week. It seems like the $109 level on the XBI remains good support and now that we have bounced of that level we seem to be treading water. So far $115 appears to be acting as resistance so a strong move higher probably needs to show a clear break […]
August 13th Biotech Update
Well, the sector was able to do a little bit of a kick save yesterday but we are certainly not out of the woods. Once would have to think that lower is still the more likely trend until we stop setting lower highs. On the positive side, we still have not set a lower low […]
August 12th Biotech Update
Well, we got that quick move that I expected after the sector had been drifting for awhile and unfortunately it was lower. So now what? I still think we will need to test the recent lows to see if we break below and make a lower low (worst case scenario) but if that holds then […]
August 7th Biotech Update
The market and sector seem to both be deciding what to do next and are basically drifting at current levels. I am a little surprised to see the sector drifting given that it is at a somewhat important level for the near term movement. I thought it would have decided whether it wants to break […]
August 3rd Biotech Update
It looked grim Friday for the sector. It simply could not catch a bid. I am sure most (all) of use tried not to think about the price action this weekend and were resigned to more selling. Today, however, we get a bounce. What is interesting is that having being a couple days removed from […]
