Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List: RMTI: Last week […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 34 (12/5/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List: RMTI: The company […]
November 13 Biotech Update
A decent start to the market with biotech generally participating. GILD seems to remain the odd stock and continues to struggle at these levels for reasons that I will follow up on tomorrow. Sentiment seems to be changing in GILD and we certainly need to keep an eye on it even if you do not […]
June 5 Biotech Update
The market looks like it is teetering on the edge and perhaps it is the ISIS march across northern Iraq that will be the impetus to send it into the correction. What is interesting is that the biotech sector has held up well in this market weakness (although the weakness has been relatively minor at […]
May 13 Biotech Update- As We Wait for ASCO
Another good start for the sector today and this is certainly feeling like a change in sentiment but we need to remain cautious. That being said, I would lean toward being a more aggressive buyer on pullbacks as we are finally starting to see some bids in the mid to small cap space. I have […]
March 31 Biotech Update- Is this the Bounce We are Looking For?
So this seems to be the rally we were looking for but that is assuming it does not fade in the afternoon like every other recent rally attempt. So far the rally is a little more broad based and stronger but we have seen this story before. That being said even if this is the […]
March 12 Biotech Update- Ovarian Cancer in the News
The broad sector continues to try and finds its footing, so there is really nothing new on that front. I want to spend this note talking about two companies that I have been receiving questions on the past couple of days. Please keep the questions coming as I want to make sure and touch on […]
February 25 Biotech Update- Some Upcoming Catalysts
It is another day with the sector trading basically in line with market and the real outperformers/underperformers have news associated with them. At this point the real tension in the sector is between the clear continuation of the rally and the fear/expectation of a larger macro correction that will take the sector down with it. […]
February 20 Biotech Update-: Onconova Disappoints
It is a bust day and I do not have much time to write. I wanted to get something quickly out on $ONTX. You can read my street article that talks about what went wrong. In general, $ONTX got tripped up just where we figured it might. That being said the trial was close (as […]
February 14 Biotech Update- A Churning, Choppy Day
The market has been good the past couple of days with biotechs continuing higher, although it still seems to me that we are in a pause that should refresh as opposed to being ready to move higher. In some ways it depends on the macro environment but perhaps we will finally get to a stock […]
February 12 Biotech Update- Getting Stretched or the Pause that Refreshes?
It seemed more like a treading water day in the market than a directional move, which is again not bad for biotech. It is said that markets do not give you a lot of time to sell at the top or buy at the bottom and to me this means that the sideways trading is […]
February 10 Biotech Update- A Choppy Start to the Week
It was a choppy and mixed morning with the market and sector looking for direction. There were winners and losers across the sector and market caps. After a large up day, it is not necessarily bad for the market to settle down to digest the move. All of that being said, if I had to […]
January 30 Biotech Update- CELG and ONTX on the Move
Today was clearly a nice bounce back day and it remains to be seen whether this is a relief rally or the continuation of the larger trend. I have been talking about the large cap earning reports as being important indicators and you are generally seeing them being non-events in terms of price movements. Most […]
January 28- Biotech Update
Well, we are having a snow/winter storm day in Baton Rouge, so the kids have no school and I need to work around them as best I can (so I apologize for the poor editing). I will try to keep this short and to the point and get it out earlier than usual as I […]
January 21st Biotech Update on GILD ECYT ONTX
The sector is looking a little tired at these levels but it seems like everyone is expecting a pullback, which makes the contrarian in me wonder if there is another leg higher. I am certainly not selling anything at this point but would be cautious about buying now. I would not be surprised to see catalyst stocks […]
January 17 Biotech Update- Building a Diagnostic Foundation
Today was more of the same in the sector and that is generally positive given the sentiment. I know it seems like biotech has been going up every day (we have certainly had a good run recently) but it seems to me like this is the only sector that is not warning on earnings as […]
December 20 Biotech Update- Wrapping up the Year
It was a good day for the market and biotechs were strong once again. It seems like tax loss selling is winding down and selling volume is starting to dry up. So we are likely to have a positive bias for the rest of the year. It also helps that the news flow in biotechs […]
December 18 Daily Biotech Update- A Couple of Surprises
Well, the taper was exactly what the market and biotech sector need. Who saw that one coming? Is this simply a relief rally, start of a Santa rally, or setting us up for a bigger fall? For the biotech sector I see it more as a relief rally at this point but one that may […]
December 18 Biotech Update- Rigorsertib Fail Pancreatic Trial (no surprise) and MRK Collaborates
We are getting into the doldrums so to speak and not much is going on. The market really seemed listless in the morning as I guess traders were waiting for the taper decision. I still see a negative bias in biotech, especially in this year’s big winners. It could very well be that funds are […]
Onconova- Pancreatic Cancer Trial Fails- not meaningful
Just a real quick note. ONTX announced the failure of rigorsertib in pancreatic cancer. This should not be a surprise at all. Clearly this is a negative headline and I expect some selling but if it is anything more than transient then people still do not understand this company or its prospects. No one should […]
