I think choppy might have been the best description of the market at this point. This makes sense give the competing influences on both the market and economy. I would not be surprised to see this chop continue or perhaps even see some consolidation. The broader market seems in a little more precarious position than […]
November 19th Biotech Update
Nothing crazy happening in the market at this point. I do not see anything that compelling low or high and I think the market continues to struggle with the hope of the vaccines versus the pain of an out of control spread. There is likely a point where the immediate term gets so bad that […]
November 18th Biotech (and MLP) Update
So the market continues to look good including the sector that is pushing all time highs. While I often say the trend is your friend (and it is), it might also be time to pull out another saying. When markets are making all time highs, the most likely outcome is to continue to make marginal […]
November 16th Biotech Update
Another start to the week with some more vaccine announcements (positive). It was good to see more positive vaccine data but it does not change the dynamic that I see with the market. There appears to be a real light at the end of the tunnel but the path to the end will be very […]
November 13th Biotech Update
So its been a decent week and hopefully we can end on a strong note. Not a lot of news to move the market or sector and perhaps that means we get a decent look at the underlying sentiment of the market. We are past the major catalysts of November and there is really not […]
November 12th Biotech Update
The market continues to move along it sort of the honeymoon period post election risk reduction. I still worry about the pandemic as cases continue to grow unabated in the EU and US. Is it possible that the market (and Americans) simply do not care about it anymore and have simply accepted the death as […]
November 11th Biotech Update
Below are my comments on the guidelines that you can forward along. So it looks like the market has digested the outcome of the election for the most part. I still think there is going to be a tug of war in terms of COVID with the vaccine news pushing the post-COVID names but […]
November 9th Biotech Update
We do not have merger Monday, so I suspect the market will be disappointed. I joke of course as this is going to be a massive relief rally on the news of the PFE vaccine. While there will certainly be a rally that raises almost everyone, there will likely be rotations out of COVID treatment […]
November 6th Biotech Update
It seems like the election is all but over. The votes have turned and clearly point to a Bide victory and as of writing speculation is that Trump will admit defeat. Of course, Trump does not have to concede for Biden to win but it would assuage investors and remove the last bit of risk […]
November 5th Biotech Update
While we clearly do not have a clear winner from the election, it at least looks like the market has decided where the election is going. If there was uncertainty over the outcome, then the market would not have rallied and volatility would not have dropped. Given the pace of vote counting, it looks like […]
November 4th Biotech Update
The election is (sort of) over. While it ended up being closer than the polls indicated, it appears that Biden will win barring some unprecedented court decision to invalidate large numbers of legally cast votes. The closeness of the election, however, makes the Senate now lean Republican. I suspect both Georgia contests will have to […]
November 2nd Biotech Update
This is the literal calm before the storm. The election is tomorrow and the adu AdCom is Friday. Plus, we still have a number earnings coming this week as well. Even with all of that news the week starts off with basically nothing that meaningful so there is not much to say. That is not […]
October 30 Biotech Update
I said that a kick was possible for the sector and it could be pulling one off. Yesterday ended up better than I expected and was the start of that save but the market remains in a precarious position with anxiety over the election potentially overwhelming everything today. Of course, the consensus seems to be […]
October 29th Biotech Update
As awful as the day was yesterday, the sector is not quite broken. This is not to say that things look great but a reversal and green close today could save it. Another day lower and we can call the trend as it would be a potentially lower low establishing. I am not very optimistic […]
October 28th Biotech Update
Not a great start to the week (or continuation of the week) as the market and sector continue to struggle. Given all of the potential news makers in the next couple weeks it is difficult to completely attribute the move solely to one factor. My mantra has been that the trend is your friend and […]
October 26th Biotech Update
A mixed start to the week with the broader market and sector lower on the open. Nothing dramatic on either and nothing really meaningful in news flow, so a sort of drifting would not be unexpected. I think it is safe to say that we are in the calm before the storm with earnings really […]
October 23rd Biotech (and MLP) Update
Yesterday, we had a nice follow through rally from the early morning move higher. That was nice to see and could possibly indicate that we are in the making new high phase of the uptrend. We still are in a limit news phase with earnings to start becoming a larger and larger story (at least […]
October 22 Biotech Update
The past couple days have not been great but we still remain in the uptrend and that has to be the assumption until that trend is broken. We are probably at an area where support should happen and a bounce develop. If we continue downward and do not get any real support, it would raise […]
October 19th Biotech Update
I waited a little to write today hoping that something would pop in the feed that was interesting to talk about but nothing is happening to start the week. As boring as that could be it is useful in that it provides a pretty clean look at sector sentiment as there is nothing as to […]
October 16th Biotech (and MLP) Update
Looks like we are going to have a decent end to the week. I am still not sure if the sector is going to continue to push this higher high even higher or we get a pullback to establish a new higher low. It certainly looks like the sector wants to move at least nominally […]
