August 26 Biotech Update

It is Tuesday, so this will be a very short update. Luckily there is not a lot going on in the market. There seems to be some consolidation in the sector with the early trading but that can change on a dime especially with low summer volumes. 1. The one and only point I really […]

August 25 Biotech Update

I do not want to say this is a slow news day but outside of the ITMN deal, there is really not much else going on. The market is rallying and the sector is clearly moving with it if not taking the lead. Perhaps this will be the start of the long awaited catch-up in […]

August 22 Biotech Update

Biotechs have been weak despite a decent macro environment (at least it was not a very negative one) and it was odd. Then someone pointed out that Yellen was scheduled to speak this morning and speculated that traders are avoiding biotechs in case she launches another grenade at the sector. While I did not expect […]

August 21 Biotech Update

Another slow day on the news front, so this should be another short report. I usually like to begin the reports with a sense of the market but right now it feels like a market looking for direction. There does not seem to be consistent leadership between days and the high growth sectors like biotech […]

August 20 Biotech Update

Another slow news day with a more of the same market. What looked like a developing trend of strong small cap performance has morphed back into the run of the large caps. Perhaps that is simply a signal that we are entering into a stock pickers market as opposed to broad plays on sectors. In […]

August 19 Biotech Update

It was an odd start to the trading with the market fairly benign if not positive but many biotechs being sold and in the red. There was no real news to trigger the selling, so I suspect it is simply a technical move after a lot of strong moves in the past week. Assuming that […]

August 18 Biotech Update

The markets are rallying and taking everything with it (for the most part). The proximate reason seems to be that the Ukraine crisis did not escalate, which should not be a total surprise as I have been talking down that situation for awhile. That is not to say it could not escalate again but at […]

August 15 Biotech Update

More of the same in the market and the sector, although the large caps seem to have gotten more of a bid today with GILD breaking out yesterday and CELG threatening to do the same today. This is the first time in a little while that we have seen a strong bid in the large […]

August 14 Biotech Update

While the general trends have not changed much today, I do want to highlight one cautionary note. We are now through most earnings so that catalyst flow is going to slow and we all know that a biotech without a catalyst tends to underperform. The saving grace is that we are getting close to the […]

August 13 Biotech Update

It is really more of the same with the market drifting and large cap biotechs not really leading and the small caps having some nice moves. I know I have been talking about a potential scenario where small cap biotechs take over as the best performers in the space but it still seems up in […]

August 12 Biotech Update

It was another mixed start to the day, which was worse than I would have thought given the ICPT data. Even the stocks that were moving seemed to have relatively muted moves and were giving back a substantial portion of the initial bounce. While small caps were not really outperforming large caps, it was another […]

August 11 Biotech Update

A relatively mixed early day in the market. The open was modestly positive and biotechs seemed to participate but not dramatically. Again it seemed like it was the small caps that had more of a bid but it was not anything spectacular. The morning seemed dominated by news more than anything else. 1. TKMR is […]

August 7 Biotech Update

A good start for the market but biotechs seemed to not be participating. While nothing in biotech stood out as particularly strong in the morning, it seems like small caps were slightly better than large caps. This was a trend I want to follow as it would mark a significant change in the sector as […]

August 6 Biotech Update

The market had some volatility yesterday and inversions seemed to be dealt a blow this morning. As such, I will focus on these two topics as they seem to be driving the majority of trading. 1. If you were watching the market yesterday, then you may have noticed what seemed like a random and significant […]

August 5 Biotech Update

It was an interesting morning in the market. The broader market was down but biotechs seemed to hold up pretty well but oddly it seemed like it was the small caps that did better. This is interesting because it is the large caps that tend to outperform as a flight to safety (if you can […]

August 4- Biotech Update

It was an interesting start to the week with Ebola and ASPIRE. It was strange that the sector was strong to start but seemed to hit a quick air pocket. Given how far the market has sold off, I would be very surprised not to see a bounce back this week but the market needs […]

August 1 Biotech Update

Market was quite week in the pre-market and has recovered from those lows but has seemed to turn lower. Over the near term I think the upside is slightly higher than the downside, although I would not be surprised to see another leg lower before we get the bounce. Over the medium term, I think […]

July 31 Biotech Update

The market has certainly been pretty poor since the spike on the GDP print, which is not a great near term signal. As would be expected biotechs are following the broader market lower but not really underperforming more than one would expect for a highly volatile sector. Of course the small caps are getting hit […]

July 30 Biotech Update

The sector and market rallied nicely on the GDP but I am still not convinced that we have an all clear. It was especially disconcerting how quickly the market gave back a lot of the post GDP print gains. Of course, there are still values out there and no reason to sell and run for […]

July 29 Biotech Update

I had a great email last night that asked me to compare FMI and ILMN and so today I will go a step further and have a day of rumbles with FMI vs ILMN, CNAT vs GALT, and MRK vs PFE. I would talk a little about the broader market and sector but at this […]