It was a generally good day in terms of news for the sector (with notable exceptions) but the price action was bad. I think this is going to be the probable going forward in that trading will be very choppy and volatile despite positive or negative news. I do not see this trading as changing […]
Outlook and New Beginnings
With ASCO approaching and some major market moving events, I just wanted to provide some perspective with earnings season almost over. – I get the impression that ASCO will be largely focused on how Bristol-Myers’ competition is looking and whether a viable dosing regimen of Yervoy+Nivolumab in non-small cell lung cancer can be found that […]
April 30 Biotech Update
It is not Tuesday so the selling continues. It seems like the turnaround Tuesdays happen but have no sticking power. At some point that trend will change and that should be an important tell. Whether that happens today or in a couple of months is not clear at this time but as long as the […]
April 29 Biotech Update- A Day of Steady Progress
The rollercoaster continues as we swing up and down in seemingly ever tighter time frames. In some ways, that seems good in that base building is a messy process with fairly rapid swings. I still think the sector needs the macro environment to be at least neutral in order to really set in a base […]
April 28 Biotech Update- Turning Up the M&A Speculation
It was another interesting and good start to the week (until we got into the usual late morning selling). In fact, it seems like we were just talking about a PFE offer for AZN last Monday (oh, wait we were). Is this the reason that the sector is stronger or are we simply getting an […]
April 25 Biotech Update- Approaching a Decision Point
The sector has not particularly strong the past couple of days but neither has it come close to reaching new lows. We had a very strong start to the week, so it is only natural that part of that move needs to be retraced. The question is how much. If we are able to put […]
April 23 Biotech Update- Shooting Out of the Earnings Gate
This was a relatively slow news day (compared to yesterday and Monday) but there is still a lot to talk about with the large cap earnings. The sector did not responsd great but it is still early and I want to see how it closes before judging this reaction. In addition, the market backdrop was […]
April 22- Building Some Momentum
Everyone loves biotechs again. Has the bottom been put in? Perhaps but there was a lot of damage done to the sector, so I would remain selective on buys and not chase any of these early moves. That being said the coast is likely clear for the near term assuming that the large cap biotechs […]
Dissecting the ASCO 2014 abstract titles
Today, the American Society for Clinical Oncology(ASCO) posted a link to the ASCO 2014 meeting planner[LINK]. The planner also includes all of the abstract titles at the meeting. ASCO 2014 is scheduled to take place from May 30th to June 3rd, 2014. Below we list some of our observations on the oral abstracts. We have […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 12 (4/18/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List – Update: Changes […]
April 21 Biotech Update- Some Good News to Start the Week
You would think the morning after a holiday would not be too busy but I have been running around all morning trying to organize a number of different projects. Luckily there are really only two issues that I wanted to address today as they have import for both individual stocks but also perhaps for the […]
High Cash / Share Stocks in Biotech (Part I)
Due to the sector sell-off in biotech, I thought it may be interesting to provide subscribers a list of high net cash per share stocks (basically cash and equivalents less debt divided by fully diluted shares outstanding). I think this metric is quite useful and (at times – not always) allows one to gauge risk […]
April 16 Biotech Update- An Early Continuation But Still a Fragile Sector
This is another slow day (in terms of news) and this time I promise to keep it short and actually keep it short as the sector is so volatile right now that it is almost impossible to explain why some stocks are going higher and others lower. For instance, I have no idea why ECYT […]
April 15 Biotech Update
Another day and nothing to talk about except more selling. There is really nothing more to say at this point that has not already been said. There is a significant correction in the growth sector of the market and funds are hitting the sell button every day and it will continue despite the fundamentals of […]
April 14 Biotech Update-
It was a really slow day on the news front, which could simply relate to the start of a pre-holiday week. I did not think it would extend all the way to today but so far nothing major happening in the sector. I will touch on a couple of ideas but will keep this short […]
IBB – Biotech Sector in The Despondency Point
iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) – Nasdaq The best indicators for our biotech portfolios are the biotechnology indices IBB, NBI, XBI or XLV. We will maintain our focus on the IBB as the biotech barometer, which has suffered lately from an over exposure. It has been mentioned nonstop on any financial TV programs or investors reports, trying […]
Catalyst Watch – Vol. 2, Edition 11 (4/11/14)
Below are current tactical and strategic thoughts on approaching FDA and clinical trial catalysts for select names. Estimates, values and views are as of the date published (or are noted), are subject to potential future, pre-catalyst revision and are not intended as investment recommendations. Please read our Disclaimer: (1) Catalyst Watch List – Update: CYTK: […]
April 11 Biotech Update- The Beating Continues
Well, there is not much to say about the market and sector other than selling is in vogue and there does not seem to be a clear catalyst that could change the tone of the market. I would also remind you that the apparent catalyst of this negative turn (pricing letter from Congress to GILD) […]
Celgene Markman Hearing Documents
Celgene Reply Markman Decl ISO Celgene Markman Reply-1 CELG brief Natco got RLI illegally blocks access to employee who got RLI fro Natco
April 9 Biotech Update
As we have been apt to do, this morning was relatively strong but we need to see how this holds up throughout the day. If we are to be optimistic, then having a rally so close to the negative pricing headlines is good as was the decent performance of a number of small caps yesterday. […]
