*** David Sobek is a disciplined value investor. Using models, research, and fundamental data, David devises a value for biotech stocks, buys when significantly undervalued, and sells when significantly overvalued.*** As a reminder, this is my personal guide. You can alter it in accordance with your risk tolerance. >3 Standard deviations – No position 2-3 […]
XENE Pipeline Keep Growing – Is XEN007 The Next Surprise?
Last week, Xenon pharmaceuticals (XENE) passed one of the most important tests in the stock market, where the share price closed on Friday at $14.05, above the $14.03 resistance line, despite the news of the $50 million public offering, followed by the news of upsizing the offering to $63 million at $14.00 per share, only […]
XENE – Quick note, Positive TMS Data Presented at The European Congress on Epileptology
Today morning, Xenon Pharmaceutical (XENE) reported positive data from its XEN1101 Phase 1b transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) study. (LINK) XEN1101 Demonstrates Statistically Significant Reduction in Corticospinal and Cortical Excitability as Measured by TMS-EMG and TMS-EEG XEN1101 Demonstrates Greater Effect on TMS-EMG Resting Motor Threshold at Significantly Lower Dose When Compared to Historical Ezogabine Data XEN1101 […]
Dave Trading – August 2018
*** David Sobek is a disciplined value investor. Using models, research, and fundamental data, David devises a value for biotech stocks, buys when significantly undervalued, and sells when significantly overvalued.*** As a reminder, this is my personal guide. You can alter it in accordance with your risk tolerance. >3 Standard deviations – No position 2-3 […]
Bellus – David vs. Goliath Can BLU Deliver A Better Chronic Cough Drug Than Merck?
BELLUS Health (BLU.TO) (BLUSF) is a biopharmaceutical development company based in Quebec, Canada, its pipeline includes several partnered clinical-stage drug development programs, but the company’s lead drug candidate is BLU-5937 which is a highly selective P2X3 antagonist for chronic cough and has the potential to be a best-in-class therapeutic for chronic cough patients who do […]
XENE – Quick note, Q2 Earnings and Epilepsy Long Term Value Creation
Follow up to my previous report “XENE – Epilepsy and Advocacy Under the New FDA” (Link) XENE released their Q2 earning report and hosted a conference call and webcast to discuss the 2Q 2018 financial results and provide corporate update. Xenon pharmaceutical (XENE) story keep evolving, with plenty of cash runway through at least mid-2020, as of […]
XENE – Epilepsy and Advocacy Under the New FDA
Xenon Pharmaceuticals (XENE) is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focusing on discovering and developing innovative therapeutics for neurological disorders. XENE has an extensive knowledge of human genetics and diseases caused by mutations in ion channels, known as channelopathies, focusing their efforts on novel product pipeline of CNS-central nervous system therapies, to address areas of high […]
August 1 Biotech Update
The sector recovered a little yesterday from last week’s sell-off but ideally we would need to see the sector break into new highs. It seems highly likely that the sector tests the recent highs and the price action at that point is likely to be a strong signal of underlying strength. Given the fundamentals and […]
BIIB Option Trade – A Response to Dave
Dave made a good case to play the BIIB data next week. He is leaning bullish, which could make price explode past $400. his downside expectation is between $300 and $320. Whenever I see elevated IV going into a catalyst, especially a biotech data catalyst, I like to see if there is a way to […]
FDA GT Draft Guidance is Bullish for Sarepta's DMD Pivotal Trial
Yesterday July 11, 2018 the FDA FDA issues 6 new draft guidance documents for gene therapy, clinical development and manufacturing guidance. Human Gene Therapy for Rare Diseases – FDA Draft Guidance for Industry https://www.fda.gov/downloads/BiologicsBloodVaccines/GuidanceComplianceRegulatoryInformation/Guidances/CellularandGeneTherapy/UCM610802.pdf The FDA guidance noting the pre-existing antibody to GT, this is the strongest SRPT’s & Dr. Mendell point, choosing the AAVrh74 which […]
SRPT – Building a Precision Genetic Medicine Powerhouse
Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) is attempting to build the most meaningful precision genetic medicine company in the world, and has laid out its strategy to investors of exactly how it plans to get there. It starts with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) and the goal of dramatically changing patients’ lives. The company may have just done that. […]
PSTI – Placenta Stem-Cells Brings Hope to PAD-Peripheral Artery Disease Patients
Intermittent Claudication or as called IC is a peripheral artery disease (PAD) caused by fatty deposits that accumulate in the arteries of the leg and reduce blood flow to exercising muscle and is generally a reliable indicator of occlusive arterial disease, which lead to a discomfort, weakness and a leg pain after any effort like exercise, […]
PSTI – Ahead of IC Phase-2 Top-Line Results
PLURISTEM (PSTI) a cell therapy company, developer of placenta-based cell therapy product candidates for the treatment of multiple ischemic, inflammatory and hematologic conditions, company I’m following for years. Pluristem trading under the radar and getting even more interesting these days as they already enter late-stage trials in 3 indications, gained the FDA’s Fast Track Designation, EMA’s […]
Dave Trading – May 2018
*** David Sobek is a disciplined value investor. Using models, research, and fundamental data, David devises a value for biotech stocks, buys when significantly undervalued, and sells when significantly overvalued.*** As a reminder, this is my personal guide. You can alter it in accordance with your risk tolerance. >3 Standard deviations – No position 2-3 […]
What Do You Need To Know Ahead of Next Week – SRPT CHMP Oral-Explanation
The CHMP meeting will take place next week April 23-26, we have no idea what day exactly is SRPT meeting, (Update 04/23: today the CHMP published this week agenda and SRPT Oral-Explanation set on 04/24 at 8:00 EST) . Usually after the Oral-Explanation the CHMP will ask the applicant representatives to step out from the […]
SRPT – Preparing For The CHMP Oral-Explanation
It was an intense week for SRPT’s investors, where the share price bounced from $74.36 (close Friday 03/09) to reach the high of $84.37 this week after the press release from Sarepta getting the green light from the FDA for Golo accelerated approval pathway (AA), and preparing to start the rolling NDA submission. Followed with […]
SRPT Was and Still The DMD Gene Therapy Leader
Today after the market close, Solid Biosciences (SLDB) announced it has received notification from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) that IGNITE DMD, its Phase I/II clinical trial for SGT-001 microdystrophin gene transfer in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), has been placed on Clinical Hold. The news sent SLDB share price down to $11.90 or […]
Celldex: Quick Take
Celldex has struggled for a couple years now since its brain cancer drug Rintega failed in 2016. In Q2 this year, results from a pivotal study of the gpNMB antibody drug conjugate, Glembatumumab Vedotin, may change the company’s fate. Glembatumumab is being tested in women with triple negative breast cancer with >25% gpNMB expression. Patients […]
Sarepta Official Statement Regarding The UK Study Halt
This morning, EP Vantage reported a temporary UK study halt in dosing after “one serious adverse event that could possibly be related to the investigational drug product” but the halt was for the UK only and did not include any other clinical trial which include Belgium, Czechia, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Spain, Sweden, and the United States. […]
Dr. James Wilson Paper About Safety Concerns, Is Not Sarepta’s Concern!
Today morning, most of the gene-therapy stocks including SLDB, AVXS, ONCE, RGNX, BOLD, ABEO and even SRPT Stumbled following Dr. James Wilson paper published online “Severe toxicity in nonhuman primates and piglets following high-dose intravenous administration of an AAV vector expressing human SMN” (link to the paper) highlighting the toxicity in NHP- non-human primate study. […]
